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Originally Posted by Kozzmic
a Win rate of 2-5 BB/100 hands is considered to be about as well as anyone could be expected to do over many hands for limit.
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so what's yours? And what's yours variance (that's what I'm concerned about the most).
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Originally Posted by Kozzmic
For NL probably 2-3 times that.
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Right for middle stakes. But I know players that have over 50BB/100 (micro stakes NL of course). I was told the 15 is sustainable for middle NL stakes. And around 10 for the high stakes (except the one highest).
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Originally Posted by Kozzmic
You will need several hundred thousand hands though before it really has much meaning.
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Sorry dude, maybe once more I'm gona be arrogant but I successfully managed a Special School.
With extended mathematic education
So I know what I am doing (on the math field):
Probability: winrate min - winrate max (per hour - if you want per 100hnds multiply by 2.5 - but I don't have the variance for bb/100 stats)
98%: 2-30.5 bb/hour
95%: 4.25-28.25 BB/hour (I'm virtually sure my winrate is between 4 and 28 BB/hour)
90%: 6.18-26.32 BB/hour
85%: 7.43-25.07 BB/hour
80%: 8.40-24.10 BB/hour
75%: 9.21-23.29 BB/hour
70%: 9.90-22.60 BB/hour
65%: 10.53-21.97 BB/hour
60%: 11.10-21.40 BB/hour
55%: 11.62-20.88 BB/hour
50%: 12.12-20.38 BB/hour (it's fifty:fifty my winrate is between 12.12 and 20.38 BB/hour)
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Originally Posted by Kozzmic
And just as you modify what you will do based on your hole cards, so should you modify your game based on how the previous 50 hands has gone.
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No even you shouldn't but even you
must not! The thing you are talking about (adjust to your "bad streak") is called "tilt".
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Originally Posted by Kozzmic
Everyone has had a day where they lose every hand they get,
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No. Noone has a bad/good day. Only sometimes some people think so.
There no such a thing as "luck" or "bad day".
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Originally Posted by Kozzmic
It would be foolish to keep losing the maximum instead of realizing you are in the middle of a very bad run and the bigger the hole you dig now.
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No, the future cards are independent on the previous ones.
BTW. when I lose big, I'm kind (or silent) on the fish and hope they don't leave (so I can win back their huge stacks).
Hey, Kozzmic you feel shame for your nick-name or why don't you tell me what the "Kozzmic" stands for?
Or was I right and you just feel shame for reading/watching Donald Duck?
It's a great comic and when I have enough money to toss them around I'm gonna buy back all the comics I've lost since my parents refused to finance it further
